India FX FORECAST INDIA
Monday, August 3, 2026

Forex Morning Brief — India

USD/INR eases as DXY softens. Gold ticks higher ahead of RBI minutes. EUR/USD holds range.

🇺🇸🇮🇳 USD/INR
Bullish
₹95.39
Bullish
RSI 36.5 MACD flat
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🇪🇺🇺🇸 EUR/USD
Bearish
1.1554
Bearish
RSI 70 MACD
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🥇 MCX GOLD
Bearish
₹126,523 / 10g
Bearish
RSI 55.3 MACD flat
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As of 1:30 IST · Monday, August 3, 2026
Today's Brief · Monday, August 3, 2026

USD/INR holds at ₹95.39 with a bullish bias despite a flat MACD, as overnight dollar strength from softer risk appetite keeps the pair supported above the ₹95.20–₹95.50 range. EUR/USD trades at 1.1554 with RSI at 70.0 (overbought) and a rising MACD, but the bearish bias suggests a pullback toward 1.1500 if momentum fades. With no major scheduled events today, watch for USD/INR to test ₹95.60 on any upside breakout, while MCX Gold at ₹126,523 faces resistance near ₹127,000—a break below ₹126,000 could trigger further downside.

Key events today:
Updated Sunday, August 2
🇺🇸🇮🇳 USD/INR
Bullish
Range: ₹94.67 – ₹96.11
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🇪🇺🇺🇸 EUR/USD
Bearish
Range: 1.1458 – 1.1597
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🥇 MCX Gold
Bearish
Range: ₹123,690 – ₹128,222
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Key Events This Week

DateTime ISTEventImpactPairs
Mon Jun 16 14:00 RBI MPC Minutes High USD/INR
Wed Jun 18 18:00 US FOMC Statement High EUR/USD, Gold
Thu Jun 19 18:30 US Initial Jobless Claims Medium USD/INR
Fri Jun 20 18:00 US PMI Flash Medium EUR/USD
Our Forecast Accuracy
12-week rolling
USD/INR
Range 100% Direction 71%
EUR/USD
Range 100% Direction 57%
MCX GOLD
Range 100% Direction 100%
See full track record →

Forecasts assessed against actual price action each Friday. Range hit = price traded within the weekly band at any point. Direction = closing bias matched our weekly call.

Assessed against actual price action each Friday. Figures unaudited.